CSN has updated shareholders and the market on revised projections for sales, production, CAPEX, and EBITDA. The company increased its steel industry CAPEX from R$7.9 billion for 2023-2028 to R$8.0 billion by 2028, aimed at modernizing its industrial park and potentially generating up to R$2.8 billion in incremental EBITDA by 2030.
Projections for production volume and third-party mineral purchases have also been adjusted, with targets set between 42.0-43.5 million tons in 2025, 43.5-47.5 million tons in 2026-2027, 50-55 million tons in 2028, 55-60 million tons in 2029, and 60-65 million tons in 2030. The C1 mining cost projection was revised to US$21.5-23.0/ton for 2025.
Mining CAPEX has been adjusted downward from R$15.3 billion for 2023-2028 to R$13.2 billion for 2025-2030, reflecting Phase 1 of the capacity addition project. In the cement segment, the CAPEX projection was raised from R$5 billion to R$7.7 billion to support organic growth, increasing production capacity by 9 million tons annually. Cement sales are projected to reach 14 million tons in 2024.
CSN updated its EBITDA projection for Transnordestina, forecasting up to R$3.8 billion, with operations expected to commence in 2027. Consolidated CAPEX projections for 2024 were revised from R$6.0 billion to R$5.3 billion, while the 2025-2028 range was adjusted from R$6.0-7.0 billion to R$5.0-6.0 billion. The company also revised its leverage target, aiming to keep Net Debt/Adjusted EBITDA below 3.0x by 2025, compared to 2.50x expected at the end of 2024.
Additionally, CSN introduced a new Consolidated EBITDA sensitivity projection, anticipating a potential incremental EBITDA of R$9.3 billion in 2028, following the maturation of ongoing projects.